8-iron — 2026-03-21

Your dispersion is a clear oval tilted from upper-left to lower-right (~49 degrees). The correlation between offline and distance is -0.63: longer shots land left, shorter shots land right. When you make clean contact (higher ball speed, more carry), the ball either starts further left or fades less. When you mis-strike (lower speed, less carry), the face opens more at impact, adding curve and pushing the landing right. The major axis is 13.3 yd vs 6.3 yd minor — your miss pattern has a clear, repeatable direction.

Every shot curves right — you're a committed fader. That's good. But the curve amount varies from 4 to 23 yards (std dev: 4.4 yd). Your good fades are 7-12 yards. Your bad ones are 17-23. The 8 shots with 17+ yards of curve are where the face was most open — and those are the same shots that come up short and land right (the lower-right tail of the oval).

Carry ranges 116-160 yards — a 44-yard spread. Ball speed ranges 92-111 mph (19 mph spread), which is the primary driver. When you split at your average ball speed (103 mph), clean strikes (17 shots) cluster tightly around 151 yd carry with 5.3 yd std dev. Off strikes (16 shots) scatter around 132 yd with 8.3 yd std dev. That's two clubs worth of gap. The tilted oval is really two overlapping patterns — a tight one from good swings sitting upper-left and a loose one from mishits sitting lower-right.

Average landing is 3 yards left of target. 21 shots land left, 11 right, 1 center. You're starting left and fading back, but on average the fade doesn't quite return to center. Average absolute miss is 8.5 yards. That's workable — aim a touch right of target and your stock fade lands on the flag.

Your top 19 shots (by carry) show what your swing actually produces with decent contact: 152 yd carry, 157 yd total, 107 mph ball speed. The full-set average of 142/146 is dragged down by mishits. Use the best-19 numbers for course management — that's what you'll hit when you make a reasonable swing.

First 16 shots averaged 103.4 mph ball speed and 142.8 yd carry. Last 17 averaged 102.6 mph and 141.0 yd. Only a slight drop — no meaningful fatigue effect in this session. Your mishits were spread throughout, not concentrated at the end.

Average rollout is just 4 yards (142 carry, 146 total). Landing angle averages 45 degrees — right at the threshold for holding greens. Your ball is coming in steep enough to stop. This is a strength.

Average launch is 23 degrees with a 3.6 degree std dev. Range: 13-30 degrees. Shot #28 launched at 13 degrees (likely bladed) and shot #5 at 29 degrees. Those two outliers aside, most shots fall in the 20-26 degree window. The std dev of 3.6 is a bit wide — tighter would mean more repeatable contact point on the face.

1. Warm up with half swings, then commit to 20 focused shots. Quality over quantity — 20 focused shots will give you cleaner data and better practice. 2. Pick a specific target and aim 3 yards right of it. Your average miss is 3 yards left. Play the bias rather than changing your swing. 3. Focus on contact, not speed. The gap between your clean and off strikes is 19 yards of carry. Before each shot, focus on striking the center of the face. 4. After each shot, note whether it felt clean or off. Your feel vs. the data will teach you a lot and calibrates your self-awareness over time. 5. Watch your curve number. If the fade is creeping past 15 yards, the face is getting away from you. That's your early warning sign — it precedes the short-right misses. 6. Track a second club. Hit 15-20 with your 8-iron, then 15-20 with your 6-iron or PW. We can start building the gapping chart.